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Below are plots of the yearly, quarterly, and monthly performance of the BKX index from 1993 to March of 2004.  The index contains about 25 of the largest-cap banking stocks in the U.S.  

 

We've made seasonal charts for the following banking and S&L stocks.  When viewing these charts, it might be useful for folks to pay close attention to our quarterly charts, as many of these banks and S&L's release dividends at regular quarterly intervals.

Bank of America
Banking Index
Citicorp
FirstFed Financial
Fulton Financial
M&T Bank
Washington Federal
Washington Mutual

Potential investors should utilize our seasonal charts in conjunction with other indicators of future success.  Our tests do seem to indicate that these charts can increase the likelihood of profitable trades, but these charts certainly should not be taken as the "end all and be all" of successful trading.

The yearly seasonal charts are compiled by simply averaging all historical percentage gains/losses for the first day of the year, second day of the year, etc.  The quarterly and monthly charts are compiled in similar fashion, but this time we overlay the days of the quarters and months, as opposed to days of the year.  The quarterly charts are particularly useful when viewed in light of quarterly earnings and dividend milestones.

Feel free to request additional charts (in moderation):  khodge @ stockwarrants.com .

For more background and caveats on our charts, visit our main "seasonal charts" page.

 

 

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