DOW Seasonality

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Daily Market Breakdown

Market Trends Diary

Seasonal Charts

Seasonality: Short to Mid-term Patterns

Yearly and Half-Yearly Patterns

Data for Download

Tests of Various Strategies

Below are yearly, quarterly, and monthly charts of the Dow Jones average going back to 1929. Volume trends are included...one should not conclude, however, that the beginning of the year typically has 100 times more volume than, say, the beginning of September...one should imagine the volume bars extending well below the X-axis.

Potential investors should utilize our seasonal charts in conjunction with other indicators of future success. Our tests do seem to indicate that these charts can increase the likelihood of profitable trades, but these charts certainly should not be taken as the "end all and be all" of successful trading.

The yearly seasonal charts are compiled by simply averaging all historical percentage gains/losses for the first day of the year, second day of the year, etc. The quarterly and monthly charts are compiled in similar fashion, but this time we overlay the days of the quarters and months, as opposed to days of the year. The quarterly charts are particularly useful when viewed in light of quarterly earnings and dividend milestones.

Feel free to request additional charts (in moderation): khodge @ stockwarrants.com .

For more background and caveats on our charts, visit our main "seasonal charts" page.