Below are tables that summarize the best trading strategies for gains on
Tuesday.
The data was gathered from February of 1993 through January of 2005. Over
this period, the average stock gained about .04% per Tuesday...an annualized gain
of 10%.
So...what are the most interesting results in these tables?...
1) If the stock in question fared poorly in the previous session (usually
a Monday, of course), it'll tend to rebound. Other indicators of recent
losses (e.g. a weak 5 day moving average) also serve as good predictors of a
Tuesday bounce. Likewise, big gains in the previous session tend to reverse
on Tuesday.
2) A positive, if not spectacular, Monday for the general market tends to
predict Tuesday gains. In other words, Monday's gains in the Russell 3000
(the index we use) tend to carry over into Tuesday. Likewise, a negative
Monday tends to carry over into Tuesday, though the rule doesn't apply if Monday
was exceedingly negative (losses of greater than 1.25%).
3) Tuesdays are weak when they occur in the few 2 days of the month.
To amplify the losses even further, choose a volatile stock on such a
Tuesday...the losses approach 1.7%.
4) Industries don't appear at all in the tables below...there simply
aren't any industries that tend to fare well on Tuesday. Perhaps that
shouldn't be surprising...why should a particular industry outperform on
Tuesday?
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Date(ymd): 050131Average Gain: 10.72Group Stdev: 53.80Market Focus: 2.8+3.4(0.00000, 0.00000)Market Focus5: 2.0+1.4p=n=r=1, period = 30 | Top Gaining Groups383.81 high-close 4.27 to 45.46 (10)+ prd_lastyear -3.08 to -1.71 (2)
366.55 high-close 4.27 to 45.46 (10)+ markcap_est 0.24 to 19.52 (1)
347.64 high-close 4.27 to 45.46 (10)+ vstdev 18.03 to 18.31 (5)
343.73 1monthgain -90.72 to -12.89 (1)+ vslice47 0.05 to 0.08 (9)
340.47 1monthgain -90.72 to -12.89 (1)+ yest_market 0.80 to 1.24 (9)
334.58 momentum -99.96 to -29.15 (1)+ markcap_est 465.37 to 825.76 (7)
333.58 big_pslice -634.89 to -277.50 (2)+ move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.03 (1)
327.64 prd_3yrs 0.99 to 1.01 (7)+ move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.03 (1)
326.53 gain1 -79.16 to -3.03 (1)+ vslice97 0.01 to 0.04 (7)
323.81 prd_lastyear -3.08 to -1.71 (2)+ gain1 -79.16 to -3.03 (1)
| Losing Groups-428.37 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)+ stdev 0.05 to 0.20 (10)
-368.71 high-close -0.00 to 0.00 (1)+ stdev 0.05 to 0.20 (10)
-361.70 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)+ recent_std 0.05 to 0.31 (10)
-361.06 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)+ yest_market -1.24 to -0.59 (2)
-318.70 high-close -0.00 to 0.00 (1)+ recent_std 0.05 to 0.31 (10)
-318.32 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)+ high-close 4.27 to 45.46 (10)
-307.47 close-low 4.29 to 57.61 (10)+ big_pslice -43.38 to -3.21 (5)
-299.24 volume1_3 -1.00 to -0.57 (1)+ move_ave5 0.03 to 0.50 (10)
-284.20 high-close -0.00 to 0.00 (1)+ open-yclose 1.33 to 41.46 (10)
-280.96 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)+ gain2 3.11 to 94.80 (10)
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Date(ymd): 050131Average Gain: 10.71Group Stdev: 31.73Market Focus: 3.2+4.9(0.00000, 0.00000)Market Focus5: 3.0+1.4p=n=r=1, period = 30 | Top Gaining Groups210.17 high-close 2.76 to 45.45 (5)+ big_vslice -601.85 to 3398.25 (4)
206.84 high-close 2.76 to 45.45 (5)+ markcap_est 0.24 to 45.94 (1)
202.51 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)+ high-close 2.76 to 45.45 (5)
202.31 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)+ gain1 -79.16 to -1.71 (1)
202.00 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)+ move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.02 (1)
195.83 close-low -0.00 to 0.24 (1)+ momentum -99.96 to -17.18 (1)
191.34 momentum -99.96 to -17.18 (1)+ yest_market 0.80 to 5.41 (5)
185.81 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)+ momentum -99.96 to -17.18 (1)
183.99 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)+ mov_ave20 -0.89 to -0.04 (1)
181.35 close-low -0.00 to 0.24 (1)+ gain2 -90.15 to -1.55 (1)
| Losing Groups-252.49 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ stdev 0.04 to 0.20 (5)
-218.23 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ recent_std 0.03 to 0.31 (5)
-161.80 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ prcvd_risk 3.08 to 158.34 (5)
-157.00 close-low 2.81 to 57.61 (5)+ volume1_3 -1.00 to -0.40 (1)
-143.12 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ open-yclose 0.64 to 41.46 (5)
-134.66 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ yeargain -96.61 to -20.83 (1)
-134.01 recent_price 0.57 to 10.71 (1)+ high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)
-129.58 close-low 2.81 to 57.61 (5)+ markcap_est 0.24 to 45.94 (1)
-128.92 close-low 2.81 to 57.61 (5)+ yest_market -0.10 to 0.28 (3)
-128.70 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)+ volume10_60 -0.94 to -0.32 (1)
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Date(ymd): 050131Average Gain: 10.91Group Stdev: 31.53Market Focus: 4.1+3.9(0.00000, 0.00000)Market Focus5: 2.3+1.7p=n=r=1, period = 30 | Top Gaining Groups227.52 move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.05 (1)
225.75 high-close 6.67 to 45.45 (25)
213.86 gain1 -79.16 to -5.10 (1)
174.76 momentum -99.96 to -45.72 (1)
168.79 mov_ave20 -0.89 to -0.12 (1)
146.20 gain2 -90.15 to -4.61 (1)
123.33 day_of_month 30.00 to 31.00 (25)
115.57 yest_market 0.80 to 0.91 (21)
113.76 move_ave5 -0.05 to -0.04 (2)
106.88 1monthgain -90.72 to -21.07 (1)
| Losing Groups-186.21 gain1 5.18 to 69.15 (25)
-134.39 mov_ave20 0.13 to 1.19 (25)
-132.73 move_ave5 0.06 to 0.50 (25)
-127.93 day_of_month 1.00 to 2.00 (1)
-117.36 close-low 6.64 to 57.61 (25)
-106.50 high-close -0.00 to -0.00 (1)
-104.45 yest_market -1.02 to -0.79 (4)
-98.56 day_of_month 2.00 to 3.00 (2)
-92.75 1monthgain 25.18 to 457.72 (25)
-90.98 gain2 5.30 to 94.81 (25)
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Date(ymd): 050131Average Gain: 10.95Group Stdev: 23.21Market Focus: 3.8+2.8(0.00000, 0.00000)Market Focus5: 1.6+1.8p=n=r=1, period = 30 | Top Gaining Groups140.38 move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.03 (1)
118.16 momentum -99.96 to -29.15 (1)
113.43 high-close 4.27 to 45.45 (10)
104.98 gain1 -79.17 to -3.03 (1)
90.02 day_of_month 28.00 to 31.00 (10)
89.06 close-low 0.00 to 0.24 (2)
85.49 1monthgain -90.72 to -12.89 (1)
84.68 mov_ave20 -0.89 to -0.07 (1)
82.14 gain2 -90.15 to -2.77 (1)
75.87 yest_market 0.80 to 1.24 (9)
| Losing Groups-99.11 day_of_month 1.00 to 4.00 (1)
-89.07 high-close -0.00 to 0.00 (1)
-88.61 gain1 3.08 to 69.15 (10)
-85.30 move_ave5 0.03 to 0.50 (10)
-75.80 mov_ave20 0.08 to 1.19 (10)
-58.72 close-low 4.29 to 57.61 (10)
-57.49 gain2 3.11 to 94.80 (10)
-46.93 high-close 0.00 to 0.17 (2)
-46.39 big_vslice -18103.07 to -10408.00 (2)
-44.16 yest_market -1.24 to -0.59 (2)
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Date(ymd): 050131Average Gain: 10.94Group Stdev: 18.12Market Focus: 2.4+2.9(0.00000, 0.00000)Market Focus5: 2.0+1.2p=n=r=1, period = 30 | Top Gaining Groups81.33 move_ave5 -0.85 to -0.02 (1)
79.95 high-close 2.76 to 45.45 (5)
79.50 close-low -0.00 to 0.24 (1)
76.09 momentum -99.96 to -17.18 (1)
74.36 gain1 -79.16 to -1.71 (1)
69.16 day_of_month 25.00 to 31.00 (5)
62.00 mov_ave20 -0.89 to -0.04 (1)
55.32 1monthgain -90.72 to -7.22 (1)
48.24 yest_market 0.80 to 5.41 (5)
48.21 gain2 -90.15 to -1.55 (1)
| Losing Groups-66.66 high-close -0.00 to 0.17 (1)
-42.26 move_ave5 0.02 to 0.50 (5)
-39.39 day_of_month 1.00 to 7.00 (1)
-39.27 close-low 2.81 to 57.61 (5)
-35.17 mov_ave20 0.05 to 1.19 (5)
-34.24 gain1 1.69 to 69.15 (5)
-31.35 momentum 17.13 to 1126.65 (5)
-29.87 gain2 1.71 to 94.81 (5)
-19.11 1monthgain 9.15 to 457.72 (5)
-19.07 move_ave5 0.01 to 0.02 (4)
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